Continued capex intensity in yesterday's Q1 reports

Home AI Infrastructure Newsletter Continued capex intensity in yesterday's Q1 reports

To follow up on yesterday’s anticipated financial earnings reports from Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon, we see that spending as a percentage of revenue was significantly higher than industry averages. For example, Meta’s capex intensity was shown to be 2.4x higher than the software industry average. As mentioned yesterday, the four companies have committed more than $600 billion in spend for data centers, power, chips, and other AI infrastructure. So how did they fare?

Each showed a general trend of beating revenue and profit expectations, but a continued focus on elevated Capex guidance:

  • Revenue: $109.9 billion (+22% YoY).
  • CapEx: $35.7 billion in Q1.
Shares spiked roughly 6%, with earnings of $2.81 per share outpacing the $2.64 projected on +22% revenue growth to $109.9 billion (minus Traffic Acquisition Costs, as Zacks reported it, with a figure reaching $96.2 billion, ahead of the $92.2 billion expected). Analysts praised the company’s Cloud backlog ($460 billion+), and its stance as an “AI landlord,” delivering TPU chips to customers – a potential $900 billion business. Citi and other firms noted that Alphabet’s cloud margins nearly doubled, providing a clearer path to profitability, despite its elevated spending. 
 
  • Revenue: $56.3 billion (+33% YoY).
  • CapEx: $19.84 billion in Q1.
Meta beat the $6.71 estimate and +62% YoY on $56.31 billion in revenues, surpassing the $55.49 billion expected, +33% YoY. Despite that, Meta’s stock fell about 9% after the company raised its 2026 CapEx guide to $125–$145 billion. This spooked the market a bit, because its Capex is growing faster than its revenue, with some viewing its Superintelligence Labs as another metaverse-like gamble in the AI arms race. 
 
  • Revenue: $82.89 billion (+18% YoY).
  • CapEx: $34.9 billion in Q1.
Microsoft revenues of $82.89 billion easily surpassed the $81.40 billion anticipated, but the company experienced a slight stock dip due to what may have been seen as mixed execution, with Microsoft projecting $190 billion in spend, but admitting it will be “capacity constrained” through 2026. Overall, high price targets remained, showing confidence the backlog will eventually convert to high-margin profit.
 
  • Revenue: $181.5 billion (+17% YoY).
  • CapEx: Not fully broken out for Q1, but hinted at very high spending, comparable to Alphabet.
Some say Amazon “blew the doors off” profit expectations, particularly in AWS which saw its fastest growth in 15 quarters (28%). Despite the positive results, shares initially slipped slightly in after-hours trading due to high Capex to support its 2.1 million+ AI chip deployment. 

Susana 2

Susana Schwartz
Technology Editor
RCRTech

 

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