I used to work at Huawei – about 15 years ago, when the firm was on an LTE tear-up in Europe. I was not particularly senior, and I was western; hardly very close to the action. I’d taken the PR shilling, and the corporate dive, and didn’t last long. But it was amazing. My memory is of a business that was teetering on the brink with each delivery project – and which, through force of will and depth of resources, got it over the line every time. Frustration turned to delight, and customers returned, and took more. Until the UK government put a kaibosh on it. But I’d gone by then.
Briefly, they were Huawei’s salad days as a global vendor; it was the brand to beat. It still is, of course; it’s just been made into a parochial player again by geopolitics, operating mostly in its own back yard, plus non-western territories. The thing is, its back yard is China, the biggest mobile market in the world – and the biggest market on any number of scores. And its awesome innovation matters equally, and probably more because, one way or another, it is its home country’s house brand to connect its own AI revolution. Which is being measured against America’s.
So when Huawei makes a presentation about a new ‘scaling law’ for chips at a big international IEEE event about ‘circuits and systems’ (ISCAS 2026, in Shanghai), then there’s all kinds of stuff to consider. So let’s try. The semiconductor industry can’t just rely just on smaller transistors anymore, it says – per Moore’s Law (smaller transistors mean more transistors, meaning faster and cheaper chips). Modern chips are approaching atomic-scale limits, and shrinking them further is expensive, difficult, inefficient, and dependent on EUV lithography tools.
Which China doesn’t have easy access to because of US export controls. Huawei reckons the chip industry can achieve the same ends (better compute) by shrinking time, as it were, and not just geometry. There are gains to be had, it suggests, by optimizing on-chip interconnects – in latency delays, energy usage, transistor density. Huawei proposes a new scaling ‘law’ – called Tau (τ) Scaling Law, based on the electronics formula for the time constant of a resistor-capacitor circuit (τ = RC, where Greek-letter τ is signal-propagation time, R is resistance, C is capacitance).
So it’s about on-chip connectivity, in line with Huawei’s heritage expertise. It follows the same principle as the scale-up, -out, and -across disciplines to optimize connectivity in GPUs racks, clusters, and clouds. It just puts a shrink-ray on it. And chip designers have always cared about propagation delays, RC delays, wire lengths, critical paths, everyday system-level optimization – just consider the on-chip interconnect engineering already used in CPUs, GPUs, NPUs. (Nvidia’s advantage is partly its system architecture.) So there’s some good marketing here.
Huawei is elevating those practices into a post-Moore’s-Law design philosophy. It has a new layout/architecture methodology, called ‘logic folding’ (LogicFolding), which involves denser 3D placements, shorter wire paths, tighter hardware/software coupling. It has already “mass-produced” 381 chips in six years based on the τ Scaling Law, it says. Its new Kirin line of processors, launching later this year, will be the first to use the ‘logic folding’ architecture. By 2031, it will have high-end chips with “transistor density equivalent to 1.4 nm processes”, it says.
Which does not mean Huawei will manufacture true 1.4 nm chips – like TSMC, Samsung, Intel. Just that, at some point soon-ish, it will make lesser chips that pack the same punch. Which is the breakthrough claim here – not that Huawei can ignore manufacturing constraints, but that it can narrow the gap through system optimization, even without the same access to lithography vendors, EDA software, specialty chemicals, advanced materials, packaging companies, IP libraries, inspection tools, metrology systems, talent, and supplier relationships built over decades.
Don’t bet against Huawei getting over the line.
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James Blackman
Executive Editor
RCR Wireless News
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